Tuesday 4 August 2015

Tipstrr of the Month - July 2015

July has come and gone, and the major European football leagues are on the horizon - but July has been successful for many of the guys on Tipstrr, so we're handing out awards to the top performers. Who will get their hands on one of our three monthly awards?

Tipstrr of the Month Award

Tipstrr of the Month for Julygoes to baseball expert Delorean Sports. July is quiet for many tipsters given the fact that there is no NBA, no NFL and none of the major European football leagues, but MLB is busy, and Delorean Sports took full advantage, making around $550 with an average stake of around $100.

Tips: 38
Staked: $3,700
Profit: $555
Return on Investment: 15.00%
Average Odds: 1.77

The criteria for qualifying for this award is a minimum of 20 tips throughout the month, and whilst we think it's fair, many tipsters returned solid results but were under this threshold. For example, Brazilian Football Tips won 60% of his tips, recording a Return on Investment of 33%, but didn't reach the 20 tip requirement for this award.

Other solid performers that ended up just missing out were:

Best Win Percentage Tipstrr Award

Delorean Sports cleans up this month, winning the best win % as well as the tipstrr of the month award - you really need to be checking this guy out. Winning just shy of 65% (64.86% to be precise) of picks for the entire month, Delorean Sports have been making plenty of profits for clients.

This month's runner up is Gibol Tips, who recorded a 57.9% win rate from his 19 picks. Sports Profit Systems won a tidy 55.2% of their 29 plays in July. Guys like Terry Tipster (52%) and AH Picks (49.25%) made good profit thanks to they both averaged odds of 2.12 (spooky!)

Biggest Longshot Tipstrr Award

The third and final award for July is our Longshot Award, which goes to the tipster who records the winning tip at the highest odds. Major K won the award with an impressive winning treble at odds of 9.69

There were a few other impressive winners on the Tipstrr platform throughout July:

Bet MD won two nice accumulators at odds of 8.78 and 8.36 so just missed out on the award.

Monday 6 July 2015

Tipstrr of the Month - June 2015

Welcome to our 'Tipstrr of the Month' awards for June. Who will get their hands on one of our three monthly awards?

Tipstrr of the Month Award

Tipstrr of the Month for June goes to Terry Tipster. June is a notoriously quieter month, but gaining just short of 11 units (21% ROI) is an impressive feat. Posting 52 picks through this month saw him focus on Swedish football (top two divisions), and it proved to be a wise move. Backed up with tips from the Copa America and the Women's World Cup, June proved to be a very successful month for Terry and his members. At just £19,99/month, he's certainly worth a look

Tips: 52
Staked: £2,600
Profit: £568.88
Return on Investment: 21.04%
Average Odds: 2.12

There were plenty of other good results on Tipstrr throughout June. Italian Football Tips performed well with a 15% ROI for June, MajorK, AHpicks, BetGGsports and several others all had a profitable June, which bodes well for when the main leagues begin again in a few weeks time.

Best Win Percentage Tipstrr Award

AlexMCM, who consistently is high up on the win percentage chart, snatch the award this month with a strong 55% win rate across 123 tips. Let's see if he can keep riding the wining waves after picking up the trophy.

This month's runner up is Bet Wizards, who recorded a 53.1% win rate. Terry Tipster, the winner of the Tipstrr of the Month Award won 52% of his bets, but his average odds being above evens ensured top profits for the month. SportsNation did well in June too, and has started July very strongly (so keep your eye out on him, he's free, so maybe sign up to his site too!)

Biggest Longshot Tipstrr Award

The third and final award for June is our Longshot Award, which goes to the tipster who records the winning tip at the highest odds. On the 13th June, MDSportsPicks stole the show by pulling out a huge 30.0 win, giving $1,450 return on just a $50 bet.

There were a few other impressive winners on the Tipstrr platform throughout June:

Kiitos Tips won this double at odds of 8.92
MajorK won a 6-fold accumulator at odds of 7.93

Tuesday 9 June 2015

Tipstrr of the Month - May 2015

Welcome to our 'Tipstrr of the Month' awards for May2015. Again, with Tipstrr growing more and more we are seeing literally thousands of tips being submitted through the verification system. There have been plenty of good performances from guys on our platform, all looking to get their hands on one of our three monthly awards.

Tipstrr of the Month Award
 Asian Handicap Picks

Tipstrr of the Month for April goes to AH Picks (Asian Handicap Picks). With such a strong month from so many tipsters on the Tipstrr platform, this award is particularly special to have won. Here is a quick breakdown of their results:

Tips: 108
Staked: €11,470
Returns: €13,312
Profit: €1,842
Return on Investment: 16.06%
Average Odds: 2.24

May was a great month for AHpicks as the above figures suggest. With average odds well above evens, their win percentage of 52% has given their customers some great returns over the course of the month. By checking out their results graph (below), you can see that it's unlikely that they're a flash in the pan, so expect to see them contending for this award on a regular basis.

AHpicks weren't the only guys to have a good month though, Gibol Tips had a profitable month from their 32 picks. One site actually out-performed AHpicks, but their sample was unfortunately too small to be eligible for this award... BetRichard, new to the Tipstrr platform, provided an impressive 34% ROI over the course of May, but with only 18 picks, we couldn't give him the award, but he's certainly one to keep an eye on.

Best Win Percentage Tipstrr Award

A great month of results from so many Tipstrrs saw impressive profits on many sites, leaving members very happy. Another shout out needed for BetRichard who again had the most impressive win percentage, but again didn't meet the required number of tips to be eligible. A 66.67% win rate from his 18 tips means his 12 winners provided good profits and has him well on the way to pushing for awards next month.

This month's winner though, is Gibol Tips, who recorded a 56.25% win rate and some good profits to boot. With some seriously discounted promotions at the minute, this site is worth taking a look at as their profit from relatively modest stakes has been pretty good.

Other good performers were AlexMCM, AH Picks, MajorKsports and JPUK.

Biggest Longshot Tipstrr Award


The third and final award for April is our Longshot Award, which goes to the tipster who records the winning tip at the highest odds. Last month, MajorK Sports won with a tasty five-fold accumulator with odds of more than 12.50. This month, the odds are slightly less, but Perfect Bets won a solid four-fold at odds of 7.68.

There were a few other impressive winners on the Tipstrr platform throughout May:

Bet GG Sports won this single at odds of 7.25
Top5bets won a correct score bet at 6.5

Thursday 28 May 2015

FA Cup Glory for Arsenal?

The FA Cup Final is upon us again as the domestic season in England (and most of Europe) comes to a close. Arsenal enter the game as hot favourites as they come up against an indifferent Aston Villa side who are in their first FA Cup Final since their 1-0 defeat to Chelsea in 2000. Arsenal have more experience in this competition, winning last season after going 2-0 down to Hull City early on only to recover and eventually win the game in extra time, thanks to a winning goal from their player of the season, Aaron Ramsey.

 Massive offer on the FA Cup FinalDanny Welbeck has already been ruled out of the final due to injury, having not started a game since their semi-final win over Reading. However, with Walcott firing on all cylinders after his first half hat-trick against West Brom last weekend, it'd be a brave man to oppose them come Saturday afternoon.

Oddsportal have this game priced up from more than 50 bookmakers, and the best price for Arsenal to win in 90 minutes currently best priced at 1.57 (with Coral). Coral

However, Coral have a special offer for new customers for this game, which is a MASSIVE 6/1 for Arsenal to win in 90 minutes. We spoke about value just last week (read that blog post here), and this offer is the epitome of good value. Usually, a 6/1 shot (6.00 in decimal odds) implies that the outcome has a 16.7% chance of success. It doesn't take a rocket scientist or Matthew Benham to see that this is an opportunity to beat the odds. In fact, if you're clever, you could guarantee profit regardless with this offer.

How? Well, open a new Coral account to get £5 on the 6/1 enhanced odds on an Arsenal win in 90. Then use Bet365 to bet +0.50 Asian Handicap (double chance) at odds of 2.60, £5 will do. Here is the outcome if you took this approach:

Arsenal Win = £25 profit (£30 Profit at Coral -£5 Loss at Bet365)
Draw/Villa Win = £3 profit + a £20 free bet at Coral (£8 profit at Bet365 -£5 Loss at Coral)

Profit regardless, who knew that sports betting could be WIN WIN!

Profit from Sports Betting this Summer.

As the football (soccer) season in Europe begins to draw to a close, many people are diverted to the lesser leagues across the world that typically receive a bit less publicity. Brazilian leagues, the MLS in American and other summer leagues can be gold mines when it comes to sports betting, especially if you've got more knowledge than the average Joe.

Here at Tipstrr, we have a diverse set of experts covering sports that will run throughout the summer, here are some worth keeping an eye on:

With most football leagues ending over the summer, Brazilian Football Tips is the place to be if you're still after a football betting fix. His results are very impressive and as the 'main' Brazilian leagues are now under way you will see increased activity (and probably increased profit). The membership packages are great value, starting from as little as £7.50 per month.
SBU Picks are new to the Tipstrr platform, joining after deciding it was the best way to prove themselves as a sports handicapper. They've started very brightly and we think it is set to continue. As they're new, they are offering 50% off all membership packages, making them even better value for those looking to profit on a consistent basis.
Brand new to Tipstrr, these guys have yet to start with us, but based on their web presence, we are confident these are ones to keep your eye on. They already have picks proofed by a third party, but have decided that Tipstrr is a MUST for a serious sports handicapper. They are starting soon, and rumour has it they'll be offering a free trial or promo period to celebrate their collaborating with Tipstrr.
Delorean Sports have been with Tipstrr since the beginning of April 2015. Wth 7 winning weeks out of 8, they are proving to be very popular. Their bets are straight forward, and liquidity is not an issue, even for high rollers betting big money. We've heard nothing but good things from their growing list of clients so far - with many saying that $39.95 for a month makes him the best value handicapper they've ever followed.
A diverse betting portfolio gives Line Moving a great edge. They offer tips in various sports and markets, making them a great team to follow. Having lost just 2/13 in May (at the time of writing), they're proving profitable, and increasingly popular. We predict big things for this site, and that in due course, their popularity will see them move lines in the betting markets.
MD sports is the official home of Miguel da Silva, world renowned sports handicapper who has featured on SportsCapping.com leader-boards for years. Consistent performer who provides picks on all US Sports as well as soccer. A great all round service.

Wednesday 20 May 2015

Prices, Numbers and Value

Understanding the numbers in the sports betting arena is absolutely key to becoming a profitable sports bettor. A failure to understand why a bet is worth betting will lead to a losing strategy, and no profit over the course of a few months or years.

Value is subjective, and can be viewed simplistically or with a more complex approach, but ignoring the concept is a disaster waiting to happen. The vast majority of sports bettors bet using gut instinct and emotion, and is why 98% or punters never make any money, and why companies like Paddy Power are reporting record profits. People and companies invest time and money in trying to establish value in sports betting markets, sometimes at great expense. Being able to find value is almost invaluable, as long term, you can almost guarantee profit - if you can guarantee value.

Understanding Prices
This sounds basic, but so many punters aren't aware of what the prices they are given actually mean. An example of this came during a debate on twitter a few days ago, where we were told the "no ones gonna put a bet down on a 25% chance lol" after we pointed out that a 3/1 single is as likely to win as a double comprising of two even shots (both instances have odds that imply a 25% chance of success).

A useful thing to understand is what odds represent in terms of percentage chance of success. The easiest to work out is that an evens bet (odds of 2.00) suggests a 50% chance of winning. To work it out, simply divide 1 by the decimal odds then multiply by 100. With the examples of odds of 2.00, divide 1 by 2 to get 0.50. Multiply 0.50 x 100 to get 50 = 50% Here are a few other examples:

1/3 (1.33) = 75.0% chance
1/2 (1.50) = 66.6% chance
3/4 (1.75) = 57.1% chance
5/4 (2.25) = 44.4% chance
2/1 (3.00) = 33.3% chance
5/1 (6.00) = 16.7% chance

By understanding this, you're one step closer to being able to establish what constitutes a value bet.

Bookmaker Prices
The next, and biggest issue is finding value from the odds provided by a bookmaker. Obviously, bookies are 'for profit' businesses, so are looking to make as much money as possible from their customers. To do this, they add a margin on to their odds and balance their books to try and ensure a profit on each market, regardless of outcome.

What do we mean? Well, a quick look at an upcoming game on OddsPortal (we've looked at Arsenal v Sunderland in the Premier League) shows that any given bookmaker only pays out around 92-98% of money taken. This works by them adding what is known as an over-round. Football-Data.co.uk have written a good article about the overround.

The most basic example of this would be a fair coin flip. The odds should be 2.00 that it lands on heads (50%), and 2.00 that it lands on tails (50%). However, at the bookmaker, you would see them apply their overround/margin to provide prices of 1.91. This would suggest each instance has a 52.35% chance of success. The overround would be shown as 104.7%, meaning for every £100 staked, the bookmaker should make £4.70. Overcoming this is a key aspect of becoming a profitable sports bettor - but it is by no means easy, especially when bookmakers pay experts (and pay for expensive technology) to price their events as accurately as possible.

Having established that bookmakers are very often spot on with their pricing, finding bets that offer genuine value can be difficult. So when it comes to finding a good value accumulator with multiple bets, ensuring you've got good value becomes increasingly difficult. Each bet within an accumulator gives the bookmaker an advantage, and just as the odds multiply in an accumulator, so does the bookmaker's advantage.

Using the coin example once more. Imagine there are 5 people, each with a coin, and you bet an accumulator on predicting all 5 coin flips correctly. The price for each is 1.91, so getting all five right would pay at odds of 25.42. A £10 bet would return £244.20 profit, plus your £10 stake.

What should the true odds be? Well each choice you've made has a 50% chance of success, and 50% chances should be priced at 2.00. So 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 32.00. £10 should return £310.00 profit plus a £10 stake. The bookmaker has reduced the value of your 5-fold accumulator by £65.80 (21.2%).

The bookmaker odds imply your chance of success is 3.93% (1 in 25.4), but you realistically have just a 3.125% chance of predicting all 5 coin flips (1 in 32).

Wednesday 13 May 2015

Top Tipstrrs in 2015 so far (Jan-Apr)

We are now more than 4 months in to 2015, so the guys at Talking Tipsters decided it'd be good to do a "2015 so far" review of the Tipsters on the Tipstrr platform.

We ran a report from our database of thousands and thousands of tips from the growing number of sports handicappers that are using our automated and verified solution. Then we provided this data to Talking Tipsters for them to provide an accurate review of the top services on our platform. You can read what they've said in great detail on their blog. Talking Tipsters have been analysing our Tipstrrs each week and thus far has been impressed with several of our tipsters, and with our aims to make this industry a better/more trustworthy place for sports bettors.

Our Top 10 tipsters, using their advised stakes (0-1 unit, with you able to set the value for a max stake) have been very profitable. Had you joined the top 10 Tipstrr services on 1/1/15 and played every bet until 30/4/15, you'd be up an impressive 62.28 MAX stakes. Put in to monetary terms, a bettor setting their max stake as £100 would have made £6,228.34 with just an average stake of £36.

For those who look to average a £100 stake, they'd have set a max stake to around £275, with a total profit of £17,127.94 for the first four months of 2015. That's some serious profit from 10 tipstrrs (and 3,325 bets).
Top 10 Return on investment: 5.23%

For those who would be unlikely to follow so many bets, following the top 5 Tipstrrs for 2015 would have been less hectic, with just 541 tips during the first four months of the year (around 4.5 bets per day). A bettor with a £100 max bet would have made £2,897,72 following these four tipsters with an average stake of £68. Again, for those looking at making an average bet of £100, would have had a maximum stake of around £146, and a profit of £4,255.34. 
Top 5 Return on Investment: 11.55%

Top 6 based on ROI

  1. Brazilian Football Tips - 28.82% (50 bets)
  2. AH Picks - 19.2% (55 bets)
  3. Delorean Sports - 18.03% (55 bets)
  4. Mammoth Bets - 13.63% (105 bets)
  5. Terry Tipster - 8.34% (276 bets)
  6. Shark Insider - 5.45% (153 bets)